Obama’s health care reform initiative is polling at 37 percent support and 39 percent opposition in the Gallup poll, while the Washington Post finds the public roughly evenly split, 46 percent supporting, 48 percent opposing. (Gallup’s numbers have a much higher “no opinion” grouping.)

Fred Bauer goes back and recalls that invading Iraq polled between 53 and 59 percent throughout the fall of 2002, with opposition ranging from 35 to 40 percent.