In this environment, I think any Democratic incumbent polling in the low to mid-40s, who isn’t well ahead of the GOP opposition, should be very nervous.

This means you too, Michael Arcuri; you’re right on the cusp.

One week before Election Day and Representative Michael Arcuri continues to lead his Republican challenger, Richard Hanna, by 48-43 percent, down slightly from 48-40 percent six weeks ago,according to a Siena (College) Research Institute poll of likely voters released today. Hanna is considerably more well known than six weeks ago, and Arcuri is more well known also. Both candidates, however, previously had two-to-one favorability ratings and now each candidate is viewed unfavorably by nearly asmany voters as view them favorably.

Oh, if only Richard Hanna had some top-of-the-ticket help.