Word from the AP is Romney wins Nevada.
A little while back I was sent the (really) early exit/entrance polls, and I presume AP is basing it on more than that. They had Romney winning big, with Ron Paul in second.
So… while it’s a caucus, and a bit of a weird one, as it’s gotten less attention, etc.; credit where it’s due: So far, Mitt Romney is the first Republican candidate to win outside his “comfort zone” – i.e., a state that doesn’t seem like a natural fit for the candidate.
No rest for the weary winner — by a little before 5 p.m., Romney will be in Jacksonville, Florida…
UPDATE: Some modestly nice news for Thompson there – those who placed 2-3-4 are all bunched together, according to CNN’s results so far. Paul, 16 percent, McCain. 15 percent, Thompson, 14 percent.
By my back-of-the-envelope calculation, that’s 13 delegates for Romney, and about 5 each for Paul, McCain, and Thompson. Probably 2 or 3 delegates for Huckabee, who’s at 8 percent. Maybe 1 each for Duncan Hunter and Rudy Giuliani, each coming in with 3 percent.
I’m sorry, scratch that. Nevada does not award 31 of its 34 delegates proportionally. It depends, at least in part, on who wins which congressional district, something we don’t have specific numbers for yet.
ANOTHER UPDATE: I mentioned above that I didn’t cite the (very early) exit polls I had been sent. They had Paul way ahead of Thompson (by 25 percentage points!), Huckabee in fourth, and McCain not even in the top four. So if the CNN results pan out, it’s a reason to be skeptical of the really early numbers…






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