Over in the Corner, our Brendan Bordelon reports that President Obama appears to be preparing his party for the worst, declaring that “in this election cycle this is probably the worst possible group of states for Democrats since Dwight Eisenhower.”
Eh, not really, Mr. President.
Yes, it’s a tough break for Democrats that they had to deal with retirements in three states that voted against Obama twice – Montana, South Dakota, and West Virginia. But they thought they had a decent shot at Montana this cycle with appointed senator John Walsh — until he ended his election bid after his plagiarism scandal. Democrats told themselves they had a shot in South Dakota’s three-way race, too, but that was mostly a blip in the polls.
Yes, there are vulnerable incumbent Democrats in states Obama lost twice: Mark Begich in Alaska, Mark Pryor in Arkansas, and Mary Landrieu in Louisiana. But Landrieu has survived runoffs before.
But several of the GOP’s most important pickup opportunities are in states that Obama won twice: Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire, and Virginia. North Carolina is a split state that Obama won in 2008 and lost in 2012.
Obama can gripe that no blue-state Republicans retired, creating golden opportunities for a Democratic pickup, but this is largely because because in 2008, almost every blue-state Republican was wiped out in the Obama wave, other than Susan Collins.






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