Okay, I’m posting this with the insistence that everybody understand this for what it is: An exit poll, conducted by a college-associated polling institute (Muhlenberg), done from 7 a.m. to 10 a.m. this morning in Pennsylvania:

Turnout: 47 percent Republican, 47 percent Democrat, 6 percent independent.

Senate: Pat Toomey (R) 51 percent, Joe Sestak (D) 47 percent

Governor: Tom Corbett (R) 55 percent, Dan Onorato (D) 43 percent

15th congressional district: Charlie Dent (R) 53 percent, John Callahan (D) 42 percent

Obviously, things can change in the midday, afternoon and evening votes . . .