Quinnipiac polled Ohio voters.
Sen. Hillary Clinton holds a three-to-one lead over any Democrat and has a razor-thin lead over leading Republican presidential candidates in the key state of Ohio, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
In general election matchups, the independent Quinnipiac University poll finds:
Sen. Clinton squeaks by Arizona Sen. John McCain 46 โ 42 percent;
Clinton inches by former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani 46 โ 43 percent;
Clinton tops former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 52 โ 31 percent;
McCain edges Illinois Sen. Barack Obama 41 โ 38 percent;
Former Vice Presidential candidate John Edwards edges McCain 44 โ 41 percent.
Giuliani leads McCain 30 โ 22 percent among Ohio Republicans. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich gets 11 percent and Romney gets 4 percent.
Among Ohio Democrats, 38 percent pick Clinton, followed by 13 percent for Obama, 11 percent for Edwards and 6 percent for former Vice President Al Gore.
โThose who say Sen. Hillary Clinton canโt win the White House because she canโt win a key swing state like Ohio might rethink their assumption,โ said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. โWhile itโs a long way โ 21 months โ to Election Day, these numbers indicate that at this point she is very competitive in Ohio.โ
To be honest, Mr. Brown, Iโm a bit skeptical of any conclusions drawn from 3 or 4 point leads this far out. The only matchup with a statistically significant gap is the Hillary-Romney matchup, and Mitt has much lower name recognition. The nominees of both parties will have something approaching 100 percent name recognition by Election Day 2008.
In other news:
Among the top contenders, Sen. Clinton has by far the largest bloc of voters who donโt like her, with a 49 โ 38 percent favorability. By comparison, Obamaโs favorability is 35 โ 12 percent, but 52 percent say they donโt know enough to form an opinion. Edwards gets a 46 โ 24 percent favorability.






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