The Gallup poll showing McCain at 18 percent, only four points behind Thompson is interesting, but the poll that I’m keeping an eye on, somewhat in disbelief, is Rasmussen’s daily tracking poll, which has had Thompson up big for quite a few days in a row now.

Yesterday it was Fred 28 percent, Rudy 19 percent, Mitt 12 percent, and McCain 14 percent. Fred’s lead has been in the neighborhood of 7 to 10 percent since the 11th. More on this in a bit…