The last round of exit polling I saw, from midafternoon, had it McCain 32 percent, Huckabee 28 percent, Romney 16 percent, and Thompson 15 percent. Earlier in the day it had McCain and Huckabee neck and neck…

But check out this description of the voters from exit polls, just out from AP:

“Preliminary figures from exit polls of voters showed that conservatives and white evangelical and born-again Christians were turning out heavily, and that Republican voters said a candidate who shares their values was most important. That all boded well for Huckabee, the one-time Southern Baptist preacher with solid social conservative credentials, and poorly for McCain, who has a rocky relationship with hard-right voters despite a right-leaning Senate voting record on issues they care most about.
Also troublesome for McCain: GOP voters ranked illegal immigration as their second-most important issue behind the economy. And, just over half said illegal immigrants should be deported. McCain has drawn fire from parts of his party for backing an eventual path to citizenship for millions of immigrants in the country illegally.”

That, at least on paper, doesn’t sound like an ideal turnout for McCain…