Some pretty surprising New Jersey numbers coming from Public Policy Polling, considering that they, and almost every other pollster, show the governor’s race neck and neck:

Barack Obama’s approval rating with likely voters for New Jersey’s Gubernatorial election this fall comes down at 46% this month. That number is not an indication that his popularity has declined precipitously after he won 57% of the vote in the state last year. It’s more a reflection of the fact that many of his voters are not planning to turn out for the Governor’s race this year. The likely electorate for this fall supported Obama only 49-45 last year.

Also note:

56% of voters in the state think Obama didn’t deserve to win the Nobel Peace Prize, with only 30% believing he earned the honor. Public opinion on that issue predictably breaks heavily along party lines: 57% of Democrats but only 21% of independents and 4% of Republicans agree with his selection. 46% of voters think Obama’s selection hurts the prestige of the award, while 42% think it makes no difference and 12% think the President’s selection makes it a greater honor.