There’s a month to go, but SurveyUSA is pointing to a clear result in Virginia:

McDonnell leads Deeds by 11 points, 54-43, according to a new SurveyUSA poll commissioned by WJLA-TV. McDonnell has never dipped below 54 percent in In four identical SurveyUSA tracking polls, and Deeds has never polled above 43 percent.

The poll also finds in the race for lieutenant governor, incumbent Republican Bill Bolling is defeating Democrat Jody Wagner by 17 points, 57–40; In the attorney general contest, Republican state senator Ken Cuccinelli is beating Del. Steve Shannon by 10 points, 53–43.

UPDATE: Their voter pool in this latest poll splits 37 percent Republican, 32 percent Democrat, 30 percent independent.

As noted earlier, on Election Day 2008, the presidential year with enthusiasm for Obama driving Democratic turnout, the party ID split was 39 percent Democrat, 33 percent Republican, and 27 percent independent in CNN’s exit poll. The 2006 vote split 36 percent Democrat, 39 percent Republican, 26 percent independent.