I asked my Wisconsin Politics Guy for his outlook on today’s Democratic primary:

Obama should win. He got the needed trifecta of who matters. The [Madison] Capital Times to sway the elite liberals, [Governor Jim] Doyle’s organization, and both [Mayor Tom] Barrett and [Rep. Gwen] Moore to consolidate Milwaukee. Up-state ([Green Bay], Stevens Point, Eau Claire) is where he will have his hardest pushes. Part of why I want to watch Manitowoc County is because it is home to the traditional union Democrat, not a big-time latte lib area. Numbers there could tell a lot…
Neither one stopped in Manitowoc. Obama sent the Mrs. to Sheboygan as a gesture; nothing more.
I know weather was a factor this week, but I don’t recall seeing either “on the farm” much… it’s in the single-digits to sub-zero in Wisconsin today.
One more thing: If it’s tight, like under 10,000 separating them with 80 percent in, I believe Hillary’s got a shot. One of the last counties to always come in is Waukesha Co., the biggest GOP-heavy county in the state. If cross-over’s going on, that could tip the scales to her.

I’ll be fascinated by the margin in the state. If it’s an Obama blowout, well, maybe Team Hillary was right and putting much effort in the state was a waste of time. But if it’s close… why wait until Saturday to get there? Why not an all-out push Tuesday to today? Were Mark Penn & Co. too skeptical of polls that only put Obama up by four or five points?