Here’s the NPR writeup on their new poll of 96 House districts in play.

A couple readers seem nervous about these results.

Yesterday, a campaign manager for a Republican who’s doing quite well said that he was noticing in their internals that the Democrat base was starting to wake up. It wasn’t anywhere near enough to endanger his candidate’s bid, but he said he hoped that other GOP campaigns were tracking this and acting accordingly. Perhaps it’s the foreign-money-funding-the-U.S.-Chamber-of-Commerce story, perhaps it’s simply that we’re now in mid-October, and a lot of folks who usually tune out politics are starting to tune in.

Democratic turnout is one of those factors that GOP campaigns and their allies don’t have much control over.