The International Crisis Group says the Afghan government a “far from ready” to assume security responsibility when U.S. and NATO forces withdraw in 2014.

The non-profit group says the government in Kabul could collapse, especially if the next round of the country’s elections is fraudulent. In 2009 and 2010, the country suffered chaotic presidential and parliamentary polls.

An ICG report published Monday said in the current environment prospects for clean elections and a smooth transition of power are slim. It also said it expects political cohesion in the capital to decline as foreign aid and investment goes down with the approach of the 2014 drawdown. . .