Beijing Weaponizes Strategic Ambiguity on Taiwan

China’s latest action looks less like an exercise and more like a deliberate attempt to erase the line between drills and war.

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A Chinese warship is docked in Qingdao, Shandong province, China, April 20, 2024

Florence Lo/Reuters

On December 29, 2025, the Eastern Theater Command of China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) abruptly launched a large-scale military operation around Taiwan. The operation, code-named “Justice Mission 2025,” was the seventh such action since 2022. But this provocation crossed red lines that earlier drills had deliberately avoided.

For the first time, Chinese maneuvers extended inside Taiwan’s twelve-nautical-mile territorial waters, with the closest activity reportedly less than five nautical miles from the main island. Disturbingly, the operation involved live fire. The drills caused tangible economic and social disruption: Taiwan’s civil aviation authorities were forced to issue multiple emergency flight advisories rerouting civilian aircraft, commercial shipping companies adjusted their schedules, and insurers raised risk alerts for vessels operating nearby.

Jianli Yang

About the Author

Jianli Yang

Jianli Yang is a Distinguished Visiting Fellow at Center for the National Interest and a columnist for National Review.

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