Everything’s Coming Up Ciattarelli

Bad headlines and a rough poll for Democratic gubernatorial candidate Mikie Sherrill suggest that the Republican has a chance in New Jersey.

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Republican New Jersey gubernatorial candidate Jack Ciattarelli at his watch party during his 2021 campaign in Bridgewater, N.J., November 2, 2021.

Spencer Platt/via Getty Images

It’s been a while since New Jersey Democratic gubernatorial candidate Mikie Sherrill could say that her campaign has enjoyed an objectively good news cycle. And it will be a while still from the looks of it.

On Thursday, Emerson College found that the race for governor in the Garden State is a bona fide toss-up. New Jersey voters are split down the middle, with 43 percent backing U.S. Congresswoman Sherrill, who represents New Jersey’s eleventh district, and 43 percent supporting GOP nominee Jack Ciattarelli, who was a New Jersey state representative from 2012 to 2018; 11 percent are undecided. According to Emerson’s polling director, Spencer Kimball, the race would be Sherrill’s to lose if the election were limited to voters younger than 50. But “Ciattarelli flips the script among voters over 50,” he said, “leading Sherrill 52% to 36% among this group.”

Noah Rothman

About the Author

Noah Rothman

Noah Rothman is a senior writer at National Review. His third book, Blood and Progress: A Century of Left-Wing Violence, was published by Hachette in May 2026.

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