How the Senate Races Are Breaking

The red wave builds in the Senate races, but so far, not a red tsunami.

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Top, from left to right: J.D. Vance, Mehmet Oz, Herschel Walker, Ron Johnson. Bottom, from left to right: Tim Ryan, John Fetterman, Raphael Warnock, Mandela Barnes

Gaelen Morse, Hannah Beier, Team Herschel/Handout, Toni Sandys, Sarah Silbiger, Joshua Roberts, Brian Snyder/Reuters

This year’s midterm elections will be held in wave-election conditions, at least by the broadest definition of the term: It’s a first presidential midterm, the president’s party holds both houses of Congress, the president’s approval rating has been double-digits underwater all year, and the party out of power regained the lead in the generic ballot in late September and has been widening it since. That bodes well for Republican Senate candidates down the campaign’s home stretch, and the direction of the polls over the past month tends to confirm this.

The Red Tide

Dan McLaughlin

About the Author

Dan McLaughlin

Dan McLaughlin is a senior writer at National Review Online and a fellow at National Review Institute.

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