You donโt often see political heavyweights in a fight to the death in the midterms. Incumbents usually win โ and when they donโt, it can be because they were caught by surprise, whether in a primary or general election, heralding a larger wave.
Recall Eric Cantor, the House majority leader, who was taken down by Tea Party upstart Dave Brat in 2014 โ the first time in history that a sitting House leader had lost in a primary. More recently, AOC felled Joe Crowley, the Democratic Caucus chairman, which marked the ascendance of the New Left.





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