At the Atlantic, David Frum offers up the banal observation that “people vote for reasons that may be quite contingent, even temporary or incidental, but that seem compelling in the moment — with effects that detonate long afterward”:
The example that Frum uses to illustrate his point is unfit for the purpose. “Good evidence,” he submits, “suggests that the GOP owed its [2014 midterm] sweep to an event almost forgotten in this decade that is now so defined by the COVID-19 pandemic: the panic in the fall of 2014 over the Ebola virus.” Nevertheless, Frum’s broader point is correct: People do vote on what affects them now, and their votes do sometimes have unrelated ramifications down the line. Today the issue is the economy; tomorrow it might be judges. In time, many twains shall meet.






Comments