Only two events have changed the trajectory of the race.
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Left: Florida governor Ron DeSantis at the Christians United for Israel Summit in Arlington, Va., July 17, 2023. Right: Former president Donald Trump at the Turning Point Action Conference in West Palm Beach, Fla., July 15, 2023.
Kevin Wurm, Marco Bello/Reuters
If you look at the RealClearPolitics average of national GOP presidential-primary polls over the past twelve months, you see that there have been only two major turning points.
In the summer and fall of 2022, the national polling average showed Donald Trump steadily leading Ron DeSantis by about 30 points. Trump led 52.5 percent to 19.3 percent in late October.
About the Author
John McCormack is a former Washington correspondent for National Review and was a fellow at the National Review Institute.
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If you look at the RealClearPolitics average of national GOP presidential-primary polls over the past twelve months, you see that there have been only two major turning points.
In the summer and fall of 2022, the national polling average showed Donald Trump steadily leading Ron DeSantis by about 30 points. Trump led 52.5 percent to 19.3 percent in late October.
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About the Author
John McCormack is a former Washington correspondent for National Review and was a fellow at the National Review Institute.
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