Will Ukraine Cost the GOP the Midterms?

Allowing Putin to continue his onslaught against a smaller democratic ally could be the straw that breaks Republican majorities in 2026.

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Ukrainian artillery crew members of the National Guard Third Operational โ€œSpartanโ€ Brigade step away to the rear a Bohdana self-propelled howitzer before it is fired towards Russian troops at an undisclosed location in the Donetsk frontline in Ukraine, April 6, 2025.

Violeta Santos Moura/Reuters

This year has seen a huge change in Republican votersโ€™ attitudes towards Ukraine and Russia. In the past six months, the percentage of GOP voters who want the U.S. to send more military aid to Ukraine has increased by 21 points. The majority of both parties now favors stronger support for our democratic ally. Approximately 75 percent of both partiesโ€™ voters favor increased sanctions on Russia. Fewer than 10 percent of U.S. voters see Russian strongman Vladimir Putin positively, while over 60 percent view Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in a positive light. And based on Russiaโ€™s ever-expanding nightly attacks on Ukrainian hospitals, schools, churches, and homes, not to mention its sending 19 military surveillance drones into Poland last week, this trend is likely going to intensify.

These massive shifts in public opinion come despite the estimated $1.2 billion the Kremlin spends annually on information warfare against the U.S. and our major allies. It is estimated that over half of that is directed against the U.S.A. Unfortunately, especially among the Kremlinโ€™s target populations, it was initially effective. People like Tucker Carlson, Marjorie Taylor Greene, and others keep lying about Putinโ€™s being a man of peace and the warโ€™s being a result of NATO aggression.

Gregory W. Slayton

About the Author

Gregory W. Slayton

Gregory W. Slayton is a former senior U.S. diplomat, chairman of Slayton Capital, and author of Portraits of Ukraine: A Nation at War.

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