In a memo released yesterday, Republican senate candidate Carly Fiorina’s campaign manager Marty Wilson argued that the Field Poll showing Fiorina trailing eight points behind Democrat Sen. Barbara Boxer does not accurately show the current gap between the candidates.
Wilson said that the Rasmussen poll, which shows Fiorina three points behind Boxer, is more accurate. From the memo:
There are many differences in these polls, but most fundamental to them are the dates the Field Poll was conducted versus Rasmussen. Field compiled its data in two “waves” over a 12-day period that goes back to the middle of October. When they started conducting their survey, the Carly for California campaign had only expended 30 percent of our media dollars. Field’s survey simply does not capture our heavy spending for the last 10 days of the election, when Boxer is being outspent on television by a substantial margin. Conversely, Rasmussen was in the field on Wednesday, October 27, and they have the race within the margin of error. Finally, none of the public polls factor in the minor party candidates, who pull about 5 percent away from Boxer. Subtract five points from Boxer’s alleged Field Poll lead, and she receives 44 or 45 percent of the vote. Guess what? That’s consistent with the internal data we’re seeing. And that’s why Rasmussen has this race in the “toss-up” category.
Wilson predicted that Fiorina will win “by at least three” percentage points.






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