• GOP pollster Glen tackles “The Myth of the Democratic Surge.”
• Political handicappers rate this year’s House race field as the most competitive in more than a decade:
The vast expansion of the playing field is, largely, due to two factors, The first is a volatile electorate tired of politics as usual and ready and willing to make drastic changes. The second is that Democrats lost almost none of their own members over the last four years while making wide gains into very tough territory, With both of those trends likely to reverse in 20 days time the party faces widespread vulnerability.
What the widened playing field means is that Republicans, who need a 39 seat gain to win the majority, now have a larger margin for error. While they still need to win a clear majority of the contests Cook and Rothenberg rate as competitive, they no longer need a sweep in those districts to win the majority.
• Does a GOP majority in the House mean the impeachment of President Obama?
• New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and Donald Trump are teaming up to help the NRSC.
Missouri:
• Robin Carnahan pulls a Julie Lassa in her latest attack on Rep. Roy Blunt (R), in which she calls for a ban on earmarks and a pay cut for Congress:
New Hampshire:
• The Union Leader slams Rep. Paul Hodes (D) in an editorial, “Hidin’ Hodes: A man afraid of the people.”
Hidin’ Hodes doesn’t show up for the work we’ve hired him to do in Congress, won’t tell us where he was or why he was absent, won’t honestly debate his opponent and won’t hold town hall meetings back home for fear we’ll yell at him. Yet he has the nerve to ask us to trust him with one of our two votes in the U.S. Senate? How dumb does he think the people of New Hampshire are?
Wisconsin:
• A new poll by The Hill shows the Democrats in danger of losing the seat held by Rep. David Obey for nearly 40 years. Republican Sean “Papa Grizzly” Duffy leads state Sen. Julie Lassa (D) — 44 to 35 percent, with 18 percent undecided, according to the poll. Independents favor Duffy by a 17 point margin. Taking the seat of the outgoing House Appropriations chairman would obviously be huge a victory for Republicans.
• Meanwhile, PolitiFact Wisconsin exposes yet another mistruth from the Lassa campaign, this time an accusation that Duffy was frequently absent from his former job as county District Attorney.
Washington:
• With just days until voters start receiving ballots in the mail, Dino Rossi is mounting a grassroots surge, and setting his sights on D.C.
• Speaking of mail ballots, FiveThirtyEight examines how mail voting could be a major reason why Washington state is so difficult to poll. The polling firm currently projects a three point victory for Sen. Patty Murray on Election Day.






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