The Court issued four rulings today, the most important of which was in Medina v. Planned Parenthood. In that case, the Court ruled by a vote of 6 to 3 (majority opinion by Justice Gorsuch, liberal justices in dissent) that private parties could not challenge South Carolina’s decision to disqualify Planned Parenthood as a Medicaid provider.
The Chief Justice also announced that the Court would issue its six remaining decisions tomorrow.
I batted no better than two for four on my predictions for the decisions issued today, but in my defense I did observe that there were so many variables for the remaining cases from the March sitting (which included Medina and Riley v. Bondi) that I’d have to be very lucky to have my guesses turn out to be right.
With only six cases remaining, there is now much less guesswork involved, so I’ll take another stab.
Only one case remains from the January sitting, Free Speech Coalition v. Paxton (concerning the proper standard of review for a First Amendment challenge to Texas’s age-verification law on porn sites), and Justice Thomas is now the only justice yet to write for that month. So I’ll stick with my prediction that he writes Free Speech Coalition. (I won’t hazard a guess as to how the Court rules or even whether Justice Thomas’s opinion is a majority or a plurality.)
There are now only two cases left from March: Louisiana v. Callais (redistricting) and FCC v. Consumers’ Research (nondelegation doctrine). Three justices haven’t written for that month: Kagan, Kavanaugh, and Barrett. Kavanaugh and Barrett have already written six opinions for the term, and Kagan has written only five. So it’s tempting to think that Kagan has one of these. But I now think it more likely that her sixth opinion is from April. So I’ll go with Barrett in Louisiana (her home state, as it happens) and Kavanaugh in Consumers’ Research.
The two remaining cases from April are both big: Kennedy v. Braidwood Management (Appointments Clause challenge to Preventive Services Task Force) and Mahmoud v. Taylor (religious rights of public-school parents). I’ll guess Kagan for Braidwood Management (probably invalidating only the coverage mandates that the Task Force made before the HHS Secretary first appointed Task Force members in June 2023) and Alito for Mahmoud (with, I hope, a big victory for parents).
On the special sitting in May for Trump v. CASA (nationwide injunctions against executive order on birthright citizenship), I’ll stick with my guess of the Chief. I doubt that the ruling will speak to the merits of the birthright-citizenship issue.






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