James Carville says Kerry has to get above 35% or it’s not really a victory. Kerry seems in real danger of getting bad spin out of tonight. Most people seem to recognize that he is just an adequate candidate and not particularly exciting. That means the winner in the media/expectations game tonight could be John Edwards. If Dean is wounded and has lost in his two strongest states – Iowa and New Hampshire – and Kerry seems uninspiring, well then, it’s John Edwards’ turn to get a big media boost, and just in time for the South Carolina primary…