Two numbers jumping out at me in the newest polls. 1) Obama’s approval rating on the economy is down to 38% in this Pew survey; 2) and in the WSJ poll, only 48% say Obama can be trusted to keep his word. That’s amazing, and shows he’s paying a price for governing so differently than he campaigned and for his literally incredible claims on the stimulus and health care. I was looking around for ideas for a prediction to make on the McLaughlin Group last weekend and a friend on the Hill suggested: “Obama will be at 50% by September.” At this rate, he could be at 50% (or below–see Rasmussen) by the end of next week.