Per the excellent work of John McCormack at the Campaign Standard blog, I have discovered another error in my brokered convention piece of Monday. Because Florida has been penalized and deprived of half its delegates, it has apparently moved to a winner-take-all system. (In fact, many states are changing their systems one way or another, everything is a bit fluid right now).

What does that mean? It only slightly changes my delegate count if Rudy wins Florida (subtract 23 from him, 34 from the field). But if Rudy is really trailing in Florida, as the Rasmussen poll suggests, then it becomes a moot point. He isn’t going to run away with it on Feb. 5 if he can’t win somewhere else first.