Joe Biden’s allies are quick to note (perhaps prematurely so) that the president’s standing in national polls has recently begun to improve. But elections are conducted in the states. And, according to the Wall Street Journal’s latest survey of voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, Biden’s campaign has a lot of work to do in the swing states.
That poll’s toplines are clear. In a two-way race, Trump beats Biden in all but Wisconsin, where the candidates are tied at 46 percent apiece. In North Carolina, Arizona, and Nevada, Trump’s lead meets or exceeds the poll’s margin of error. In the multi-candidate pileup scenarios WSJ’s pollsters tested, Trump’s lead declines some (save for North Carolina). But only in Wisconsin is that decline sufficient to hand Biden a victory.
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