That’s the appropriate description of reading any leaked exit polls with anything other than amused detachment. They are a hopeless guide to what will actually occur when states start counting the votes. Early voting, absentees, and a variety of biases render them useless until they are weighted, later on, by actual vote totals.

Believe me, lots of Democrats in 2004 read the leaked exits to their great disappointment — and in some cases, to their great derangement.