The House passed the Pelosi health bill, as amended by Stupak, by 220–215. That 220 has now lost Murtha, Abercrombie, Wexler, Cao, Stupak, Herseth Sandlin, Oberstar, and probably Berkley. That brings Pelosi down to 213 when she needs 216 (or maybe 217, depending on the timing of Representative Deal’s resignation). Meanwhile, nobody has given a strong on-the-record indication of moving from no to yes. As of now it looks as though Pelosi needs a net gain of three to four votes.

Update: Herseth Sandlin was already a no, so I removed her from the count.