Next month, Democrats expect to reclaim Hawaii’s 1st congressional district, which they lost in a special election to Republican Charles Djou in May. But as I write on the homepage, they better not get too excited yet:

Two weeks ago, however, the Hill released a poll in which Djou led his once and current opponent, Hanabusa, 45 to 41 percent — within a margin of error of 4.9 percent. The poll also found 61 percent of respondents had a favorable opinion of the congressman, while 56 percent did of his adversary. Fortune, it seems, is smiling on Djou.

Here’s the piece.