Roberts will be confirmed. Bush will nominate a woman. Social Security reform will be dropped. The estate tax will be delayed until next summer, when it will be more politically popular. Brownie will not be fired. Nor will Chertoff. The Katrina Commission will be chaired by Bob Livingston and Bob Graham. FEMA will be removed from Homeland Security and become a cabinet-level agency by the end of 2007. Philip Seymour Hoffman will win an Oscar for playing Truman Capote. We’ll never find out what’s down the hatch on “Lost.” Sean Penn will say something stupid again real soon. Barbara Bush will apologize tomorrow.