Just spoke to a senior GOP strategist who used the phrase “coming home” to explain what’s happening in some of the battleground states. E.g. Ohio is “coming home” to Republicans – although “it’s not as cozy as it used to be.” So too, is Nevada. The thinking is that Minnesota is “coming home” to the Democrats. The most promising blue state pick-ups are Iowa, Wisconsin and New Mexico. There is still a Pennsylvania possibility for the GOP, thus the President’s visit. The keystone state is thought to be a true swing state – it breaks late and breaks decisively. This Republican thinks that this year “change” is seen as “risk” in voters’ minds.