David Ignatius has lots of useful tidbits here.
He also raises something I haven’t seen addressed fully. I am all in favor of the tipping-point, freedom moment, Cedar Revolution stuff. But as a matter of practicalities is it really an obvious good thing for the Syrians to leave Lebanon before Hezbollah has been dealt with? Ignatius raises the possibility that Hezbollah might cut a deal with the oppposition movement in Lebanon which would be bad news for Syria’s hopes to hold on there, but would that be good news for Lebanon? They’re the only militia not to disarm under the peace accords and they’re extremely influential in Lebanese politics. Is an unstable Lebanon with Hezbollah the 800 pound gorilla really better than a stable Lebanon with Hezbollah on something of a leash?
My gut says yes. Keep moving forward. This is a moment of creative destruction and removing or weakening Syria’s control of Lebanon would bring more benefits than costs. But I would like to read something that tackles this question head-on.






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