Mark (Steyn): The proper answer is, I’m not sure of anything. I probably should have said “about” instead of “as few as” 250,000. Still, my meetings this morning left me with the impression that Democratic turnout would be a lot higher than the 2004 level of 124,000. Republican turnout will be lower than that, but I would be extremely surprised if it’s as low as 60,000. There were almost 90,000 in 2000 — it could be fewer than that this time, but there are more Iowans now than there used to be.

One campaign tells me that the top three candidates alone will combine for more than 60,000.