You know how global warming is increasing the number and intensity of hurricanes? At least it was a year ago, according to Time and its preferred sources:

All these hurricanes in such a short period of time begs the question: are storms getting stronger, and if so, what’s causing it? According to a new paper in Nature, the answer is yes — and global warming seems to be the culprit.

Well, this year doesn’t look so bad, according to a brand-new analysis:

According to its August Atlantic hurricane season outlook, NOAA now expects a near- to below-normal Atlantic hurricane season, as the calming effects of El Niño continue to develop.