Michael, you’re right to remind us of all those Iranian secular socialists and accommodationist middle-classes who thought the Ayatollah was an unusually stern face on an otherwise conventional popular uprising. The intellectuals who accompanied him back from exile in Paris were mostly dead or fled within a couple of years.
That said, my only point with respect to Turkey is that it doesn’t need a revolution. Islamism is on a demographic rise, and Kemalism is in irreversible long-term decline – and at some point that reality will be reflected constitutionally. Israel is already seeing the impact: its best friend in the region is sounding these days a lot more like your average cookie-cutter Muslim state. There’ll be more of that ahead.






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