To return to one of the most striking features of certain polls, Orrin Judd pores over the entrails of a grim Washington Post/ABC survey that shows the male vote going to Obama over McCain 51-45. Mr Judd observes:

If I had to bet an internal organ on it, I’d say the GOP is going to get wiped out. But, if the bet was just on Barack Obama not only becoming the first Democrat to carry men in modern memory but to crest 50%?

That would be the highest proportion of the male vote achieved by any Democrat nominee since LBJ. It wouldn’t be a mere landslide, but a total demolition of voting patterns in the modern era.

Unless, of course, the poll is all screwy.

It can’t be said often enough: Don’t let polls pre-determine the turnout model. Vote.

UPDATE: On the other hand, consider the guys who got it closest last time – IBD/TIPP:

Obama 46.7%
McCain 44.6%

The regional figures are interesting. Look at where the undecideds are:

Northeast 11%
Midwest 12%
South 6%
West 8%

The boy/girl numbers look healthier for McCain, too.