A number of people have pointed out that participants in Tradesports are betting against Miers’s confirmation. I haven’t seen anyone point out that, at the same time, they have consistently been betting that she gets more than 50 (but fewer than 60) votes. So is it fair to say that what the market is predicting is a successful filibuster against Miers? And how will Miers’s conservative critics–some of whom are on record against judicial filibusters–react to that?