As I predicted a couple of weeks ago, there has still not been any big migration of Haitians coming our way. In fact, National Journal reports that as of yesterday afternoon, just 1,500 Haitians already here had signed up for “Temporary” Protected Status, which allows illegal aliens and people on temporary visas to stay here for 18 months while things sort themselves out (and which is almost certain to turn into a permanent amnesty). Many more will sign up (the registration period is six months long, which is kind of ridiculous), though the high end of the government’s estimate — 200,000 — is probably too high. What’s more, there hasn’t been a huge flow of Haitians on rafts or inner tubes; the same story reports that the Coast Guard hasn’t interdicted a single Haitian off Florida in the three weeks since the earthquake (nearly 1,800 were apprehended in 2009).

What this tells us is that the administration’s firm stance on not admitting Haitian boat people is working. The only way we’ll see a massive move out of Haiti to the U.S. is if we allow it by going wobbly. And if that does happen, the White House will bear full responsibility.