Was just talking to my shrewd friend, or Shrewd Guy, if you will. He makes a couple of points:
–He expects McCain to win tomorrow narrowly, but doesn’t rule out the possibility of a wave of independents to Obama that hurts McCain. So he thinks a Romney win is still a possibility.
–He sees the rise of Obama as a thorough-going rebuke of Clintonism and the Clintons. Obama is a true left-winger, so he represents a break from Clintonian third-way politics, and he’s a fresh face, representing a changing of the guard from both Clintons.
–The paradox of both Obama and Huckabee is that they are able to talk effectively of cross-partisan cooperation, at the same time they have rock solid support from the base of their party (Obama–the left and, presumably now, African-American voters; Huckabee–the evangelicals). That takes some doing.






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