I soured on them after the 2006 elections, but for whatever it’s worth: After the New York Times story last week on Giuliani’s supposed new strategy of forthrightly embracing abortion rights, the bettors at intrade.com had McCain above him for the first time in a long time. And that McCain advantage lasted for almost all of the next week. Since the amnesty deal, however, McCain has sunk four points below Giuliani. I bet the gap would grow if Giuliani came out against the deal instead of hedging.