With the Democratic race up in the air, I should revisit my prediction for November. I had said the race would be Bush v. Dean, that Dean’s runningmate would not be one of the Democratic candidates, nor would it be Sen. Clinton, that Bush would get 53% of the vote, and that Dean would carry Hawaii, Washington, Oregon, Minnesota, Iowa, Illinois, the District, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, New England, and two out of four of California, Ohio, Michigan and Pennsylvania.

I repeat the last two elements of that, whoever the Democrats nominate–Kerry, Edwards, or the Jacobite pretender. My thoughts were based on my idea of two parties’ respective strengths. I don’t think the finesse of the nominee, or lack of it, will make much difference.

PS: I guess I should give the GOP New Hampshire.