Noah Millman has blogged comprehensively on this horrible problem here.

I think the admin would like to do surgical strikes — the “Osirak

option” — but just doesn’t trust the intelligence sufficiently. Franklin

Foer, in the TNR article Noah mentions, says “U.S. intelligence agencies

have not uncovered much” of Iran’s nuke program. Given the track record on

Iraq, even the little they *have* uncovered must be suspect.

Noah is surely right: nobody has a clue what to do about Iran’s nukes.

It’s been a chess game, and they have us in checkmate. Iran will get nukes,

for all the President’s declarations that he won’t let it happen.