Kathryn, I don’t think that, if Romney wins Michigan today, it will be “in the face of expectations of a McCain win.” The RealClearPolitics average of polls has Romney up in Michigan by 2.7 percentage points. That is, of course, within the margin of error, and most observers just say the race is very, very close, but in any event, I don’t think a Romney victory could be characterized as an upset.