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Dear Mr. Lowry, I want to let you know I am a first time subscriber to National Review and a big fan of the magazine. Also, in the interest of full disclosure I am a McCain supporter so I might be a little biased, but based on what happened tonight, here is what I think will PROBABLY happen: McCain and Romney go onto Michigan for Romney’s last stand. Romney will be very competitive here and tone his message to economic issues, especially highlighting tax cuts as a way to jab at McCain. McCain will come in with some momentum (especially since Obama the media darling lost) and will give Romney a heck of a fight. However, I think McCain will win because of Independents. Since the Democratic race is virtually uncontested there, Independents will vote in the Republican primary where I think McCain has the edge. After this, Romney (even if he doesn’t drop out officially, he will be almost a non-factor) and it will be onto South Carolina. This race is hard to call, Huckabee will rally the evangelicals, Thompson will rally the fiscal conservatives and McCain will rally the veterans and thus the race will be close. I don’t know who’ll win that, but I have a feeling that if it is McCain, the nomination will be his since Thompson would probably drop out and endorse him, Huckabee will continue onto Florida. but the momentum will be with McCain and the base of support for Rudy (socially moderate national security Republicans) will leave their guy for McCain and thus I think McCain will win. However, this does depend on a lot of ifs and if Romney wins Michigan all bets are off. I hope I don’t sound too stupid and thanks for reading this.






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