As Jim noted, in a Elon University poll today, Trump is down just one in North Carolina and in a (perhaps outlier-ish) Survey USA poll, he’s up seven there. As discussed earlier, the state is pretty much a must-have for Trump.
Also, there are numbers today suggesting Trump is snapping back to more where you would expect a Republican to be in red states. Monmouth has him up 14 in Missouri, whereas other recent surveys occasionally had him only +5 there. And a new Arizona poll has him up four, not the most robust showing, but the best poll he’s had in the state in a while.
On the other side of the ledger, Trump’s targeted blue states don’t look so hot, per today’s numbers. A (perhaps outlier-ish) Franklin & Marshall poll has Hillary up eleven in Pennsylvania, and a new Michigan poll has Hillary up by seven.
The take-away from today’s numbers is that Trump’s narrow path looks viable, but his options for getting to 270 don’t seem to be widening. Usual caveat applies: the map will change as the national numbers change, and those do seem to be in motion.






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