The Corner

Yes, Be Skeptical of Claims That the U.S. Hasn’t Damaged Iran Much

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Commander of U.S. Central Command Admiral Charles Bradford Cooper II speaks during a Pentagon briefing on the Iran war in Washington, D.C., April 16, 2026.

Nathan Howard/Reuters

Yesterday afternoon, I posted about my skepticism of claims in a New York Times report, relying on unnamed intelligence sources, to the effect that intensive American (and Israeli) air attacks over more than a month had done little to depress Iran’s ballistic-missile capabilities. For example, the report maintained that Iran “still fields about 70 percent of its mobile missile launchers,” and had “retained roughly 70 percent of its prewar missile stockpile.” Moreover, the three Times reporters wrote:

My main counter was that, while I am in no position to contest the numbers the Times reports taking from non-public intelligence assessments, I perceived that the numbers had been spun in a way that misleadingly implied “Iran’s ready access to a robust, turnkey ballistic missile arsenal.”

Andrew C. McCarthy

About the Author

Andrew C. McCarthy

Andrew C. McCarthy is a senior fellow at National Review Institute, an NR contributing editor, and author of Ball of Collusion: The Plot to Rig an Election and Destroy a Presidency.

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