Advantage: Hillary

If the Democrats nominate her, she will likely win

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Hillary Clinton has glaring weaknesses as a candidate. The historical odds are against her goal: getting a third term in the White House for one party. The Democrats should nonetheless be considered the likely winners if they nominate her.

At the moment, most of the news for Clinton looks grim. Her favorability ratings have been falling for four years straight. Fifty-three percent of Americans have an unfavorable impression of her in the latest poll average at the Huffington Post. In August, a Quinnipiac poll found that 61 percent of voters say she’s not honest or trustworthy. Among New Hampshire Democrats, she has lagged behind Bernie Sanders in every poll released to the public since July. Her mishandling of official e-mails as secretary of state, along with her clumsy lies about it, keeps generating unflattering coverage.

Ramesh Ponnuru

About the Author

Ramesh Ponnuru

Ramesh Ponnuru is the editor of National Review, a columnist for the Washington Post, and a fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.

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