As if my earlier thoughts were not enough cold water on the Suffolk poll, pollster Patrick Murray shares this little detail: “Based on a conversation I had with the Suffolk pollster, 93 percent of registered voters made it through their likely voter screen. That’s in a race where turnout is expected to be below half of all registered voters.”

Murray thinks that some mild overestimation of the turnout is fine because it gives a sense of the late-breakers.