I know this will come as a shock to you, but the 80-year-old guy who switched parties out of fear of losing his seat, who tells congressional colleagues to act like a lady, is down 14 percentage points to Pat Toomey in a state where unemployment is 8.9 percent, the highest level in 25 years.

We’re in an anti-incumbent cycle, and they don’t come much more incumbent than Specter: Pat Toomey was in college at Harvard when Specter first entered the Senate.